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Oil markets grow sceptical of Trump signals

A month into the ongoing US and Israeli strikes on Iran, uncertainty continues to dominate global oil markets, with analysts struggling to interpret the signals coming from Donald Trump. Initially, statements and social media posts from the US president had a strong influence on oil prices, triggering sharp movements as investors reacted to any hint of escalation or de-escalation. However, recent developments suggest that traders are becoming more cautious about relying on such signals. Before the conflict began on 28 February, oil prices hovered around $72 per barrel. They later surged, reaching a peak of $118 on 19 March. As of the latest trading sessions, prices remain elevated at just under $112, reflecting ongoing geopolitical tensions. Market analysts say oil prices are now acting as a barometer for broader global risks. According to investment experts, prices tend to rise when […]

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Oil prices plunge as Trump pauses Iran energy strikes

Oil prices fell sharply on Monday while European stock markets rebounded after United States President Donald Trump suddenly ordered a halt to planned strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure. His comments on Truth Social marked a sharp shift from his earlier threats over the weekend.​ Brent crude futures at one point dropped more than 14 percent before trimming losses to trade down about nine percent. West Texas Intermediate crude also slid, and European gas prices fell by around four percent as traders reacted to the pause in military action.​ Analysts said markets now need more clarity because Iran has publicly denied that any talks with the United States have taken place. That denial partly cooled the initial relief rally and reminded investors that tensions in the Middle East remain high.​ European stocks had opened the week with heavy losses but turned […]

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Oil Prices Jump Amid Strait of Hormuz Crisis

Global oil prices climbed sharply after Iran intensified strikes across the Middle East, raising fears of disruption to energy supplies. Brent crude, the international benchmark, jumped 10% on Monday to briefly exceed $82 per barrel following reports that at least three vessels were attacked near the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend. Natural gas prices also surged by up to 25% amid concerns about supply constraints. Iran warned commercial vessels against passing through the strategic waterway, through which roughly 20% of global oil and gas shipments transit. Shipping activity at the entrance to the strait has slowed dramatically, with analysts cautioning that a prolonged disruption could drive energy prices significantly higher. In the UK, the FTSE 100 opened nearly 1% lower, with airline shares hit by widespread airspace closures across the Middle East. European markets experienced sharper losses: France’s CAC […]

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Oil prices tumble after Trump eases concerns over Iran

Oil prices have fallen sharply after US President Donald Trump signalled he may hold off on military action against Iran, easing fears of a sudden disruption to global crude supplies. The pullback comes after a week in which benchmark prices surged on worries that Washington could strike Iran over its deadly crackdown on protesters.​ US West Texas Intermediate crude dropped by more than 1 to 2, losing over 1 per barrel in early Asian trading after Trump said killings in Iran were “stopping” and there was “no plan for executions.” Brent crude, the global benchmark, fell by around 3, slipping back below 65 per barrel after gaining about 11 over the previous five sessions.​ Trump told reporters the US would “watch it and see,” comments that traders interpreted as a sign that an immediate strike on Iran was unlikely. Analysts […]

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Oil Prices Tumble After Israel Agrees to Iran Ceasefire

On June 24, 2025, news broke that Israel agreed to a complete and total ceasefire with Iran, brokered by U.S. President Trump. Traders reacted swiftly: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude dropped about 3% to settle near $66.50 per barrel, and Brent crude fell 2.9%–3.4%, landing in the $67–69 range. Why Prices Declined Reduced supply disruption risk: Ceasefire eased fears of conflict escalation through the Strait of Hormuz, a major oil transit route . De-escalatory signals: Iran’s limited retaliatory strikes and non-interference with shipping sparked confidence. Tech-driven market moves: Algorithmic sell-offs amplified the price slide once the geopolitical risk premium disappeared. Why This Drop Matters ReasonSignificanceCheaper Fuel CostsLower oil prices could ease inflation and reduce transportation/fuel expenses globally.Policy ImplicationsA price drop gives central banks relief, reinforcing dovish sentiment from figures like Fed’s Michelle Bowman .Investor Risk AppetiteOil decline helped boost global […]

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