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Local Investors Miss Out on Nigeria’s N4.8trn Non-Oil Boom

Nigeria’s non-oil export sector has seen rapid growth, but local investors are losing out to foreign players—mainly from India, China, Lebanon, and Vietnam—who now dominate the trade. According to reports from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and the Nigerian Export Promotion Council (NEPC), non-oil export earnings surged to N4.8 trillion in the first half of 2025, a 391% rise from N977 billion in the same period of 2021. NEPC described this growth as evidence of President Bola Tinubu’s “Renewed Hope Agenda.” However, local industry stakeholders say the numbers hide deep challenges. Many argue that the benefits of this diversification are being lost to foreign operators who have stronger financial backing and easier access to funding. Dr. Ojo Ajanaku, President of the National Cashew Association of Nigeria (NCAN), said local exporters are struggling with limited access to loans and high […]

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Real Estate Dethrones Oil: Now Nigeria’s 3rd Largest GDP Contributor

The New Economic Powerhouse: Bricks Over Barrels Nigeria’s real estate sector has officially displaced crude oil as the country’s third-largest GDP contributor, according to newly rebased 2024 data from the Nigerian Bureau of Statistics (NBS). Sector Rankings (2024 Rebased GDP):1️⃣ Crop Production – ₦61.9T (17.58%)2️⃣ Trade – ₦67.9T (17.42%)3️⃣ Real Estate – ₦41.2T (10.78%) (new)4️⃣ Telecommunications – ₦25.4T (6.78%)5️⃣ Crude Oil & Gas – ₦14.6T (5.85%) (down from 3rd) Why Real Estate is Booming 🏠 28 Million Housing Deficit: Requires 700,000 new homes/year (currently unmet)📈 Q1 2025 Growth: 18.08% nominal expansion (vs. 8.73% in Q4 2024)🌍 Informal Sector Capture: Rebasing better reflects actual market activity "People need roofs—that’s why real estate is surging," says Faji Tobiloba (Besitz Group). Oil’s Decline vs Real Estate’s Rise Crude Oil & GasReal Estate▼ 5.85% GDP share▲ 10.78% GDP share▼ Price volatility▲ Steady demand▼ Limited local value▲ Domestic job creation The shift signals Nigeria’s slow but real economic diversification. Sector Snapshots 🏡 Real Estate Drivers:• Urbanization & population growth• Mortgage reforms (e.g., NHF)• Diaspora investments 🛢️ Oil’s Challenges:• Theft […]

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